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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Polymarket:

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Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun?

Volume:
$817,890

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

 - Polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$194,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,906
N/A
N/A
$36,340
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,214
N/A
N/A
$31,230
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200,434
N/A
N/A
$126,680
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 167.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,950
N/A
N/A
$19,684
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Connecticut wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,949
N/A
N/A
$11,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Connecticut wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,430
N/A
N/A
$12,140
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 168.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Connecticut wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,321
N/A
N/A
$6,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Connecticut wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,944
N/A
N/A
$5,159
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 166.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,958
N/A
N/A
$4,507
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 12.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,868
N/A
N/A
$3,087
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,493
N/A
N/A
$2,221
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

This event group covers the WNBA matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun scheduled for July 8, 2026. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi provides a suite of point-spread markets ranging from 1.5 to 21.5 points for both teams. The core outcome—which team wins and by how much—is consistent, but the market structures and resolution granularity differ significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi offer different market structures: Polymarket is a binary winner market, while Kalshi offers multiple point-spread markets. Both depend on the same underlying game outcome, but settlement values and resolution logic are distinct.Hero tip: Do not conflate these markets. Polymarket resolves on winner only; Kalshi resolves on margin thresholds. You need the final score and exact point differential to settle Kalshi correctly. Monitor WNBA official sources for the final box score, including any overtime periods.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Minnesota Lynx or Connecticut Sun based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: WNBA official scores.
  • Kalshi: Point-spread ladder market. Eight Minnesota win spreads (1.5 to 21.5 points) and four Connecticut win spreads (1.5 to 9.5 points), each resolving independently to Yes if margin exceeds threshold. No explicit postponement or cancellation language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The Minnesota vs Connecticut women's professional basketball game scheduled for July 8, 2026 will be resolved based on the final point differential between the teams. Resolution criteria span from Minnesota winning by more than 21.5 points to Connecticut winning by more than 9.5 points, covering a range of potential outcomes. The final official score as recorded by the league at the conclusion of regulation play (including any overtime periods) determines the point spread. Each threshold represents a separate resolution criterion, with Yes outcomes triggered when the specified team wins by more than the stated margin. The market structure allows for betting on Minnesota victories across multiple spread levels as well as Connecticut victories across multiple spread levels.