TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)
Volume:
$505,261
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the women's college basketball game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers and Wisconsin Badgers scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both Minnesota win and Wisconsin win resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses categorical resolution (team names) with explicit cancellation handling. The platforms are fundamentally incompatible in structure and logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until resolution logic is clarified with the platform directly. The published rules violate basic logical consistency. Polymarket's categorical resolution with 50-50 cancellation clause is clear and resolvable. Treat Polymarket as the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves both Minnesota win and Wisconsin win to Yes. This is logically impossible—a single game cannot have both teams winning. Quote: 'If Minnesota wins...resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin wins...resolves to Yes.' The market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Resolves to categorical outcome: either 'Minnesota Golden Gophers' or 'Wisconsin Badgers' based on final score. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Quote: 'If the Minnesota Golden Gophers win, the market will resolve to Minnesota Golden Gophers. If Wisconsin Badgers win, the market will resolve to Wisconsin Badgers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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