TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either the Minnesota Vikings or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The outcomes depend solely on the final score of the match, reflecting expectations about offensive productivity.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either the Minnesota Vikings or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for points: if the designated team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., 3.5, 7.5, up to 42.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The governing league's official score determines resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of team strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, traditional sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Vikings-Buccaneers team total will be over or under a certain value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ predictions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating, and can change rapidly as new information becomes available. Traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against the house.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total for both the Vikings and Buccaneers is verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The official team totals, as reported by official league sources, will determine whether the market settles in favor of the ‘over’ or ‘under’ outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to either a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.