TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. It captures the competitive performance of each team during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated game. If Tampa Bay scores more points than Minnesota in that quarter, the 'Tampa Bay wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Minnesota scores more points, the 'Minnesota wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result does not affect the resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the most likely outcome. Generally, if prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it suggests a disagreement about probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from the views of sophisticated bettors participating in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently and provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Vikings vs. Buccaneers game. The final score at that point will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing or a key turnover, could lead to substantial adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events before Sep 27, 2026.