TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the Minnesota Vikings and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that quarter, without considering the overall game result.
The event evaluates various point differential thresholds for the second quarter of the Minnesota Vikings versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the Vikings or Buccaneers achieve a specified point margin over their opponent exclusively within that quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. The thresholds range from narrow margins like over 1.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points, offering multiple levels of outcome specificity for both possible winners in that quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move in response, potentially offering a different value than available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. Buyers are expressing a belief that the outcome is *more* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it’s *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders interact, reflecting the collective forecast of participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential 2nd quarter spread between the Vikings and the Buccaneers.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Vikings-Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract price purchased on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Buccaneers would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they significantly impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed on social media, could influence traders on Kalshi and cause the price to adjust. Game day developments, like early scoring drives, will also have a major impact.