TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines the winning team in the second half by a margin exceeding various point thresholds, from 2.5 to 10.5 points.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the second half (including overtime) by more than the indicated point margin. Thresholds range from 2.5 to 10.5 points, with separate markets for each team and each margin.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing, offering potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the second half of the Vikings-Buccaneers game. Traders bid to buy contracts representing outcomes they believe are more likely, and offer to sell contracts representing outcomes they believe are less likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic interaction determines the current price, which reflects the market’s aggregate forecast for the second half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second half spread of the Vikings-Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sports league, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to adjustments in expectations for the second half spread. Public sentiment and large bets from informed traders can also contribute to price fluctuations.