TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 27, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of a professional football game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It captures the early momentum and scoring efficiency of each team within the initial 15 minutes of play.
If Tampa Bay wins the 1st Quarter of the MIN Vikings vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 1st Quarter of the MIN Vikings vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the MIN Vikings vs TB Buccaneers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when compared to initial public opinion or polls.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs $60 to buy a contract that pays out $100 if that outcome wins. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs about the event’s likelihood, creating a dynamic and informative market for predicting the first quarter winner of the Vikings-Buccaneers game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome determined by which team is leading after the first quarter of the Vikings versus Buccaneers game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. The platform will confirm the winning team based on the official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Trading will cease once the first quarter concludes and the official result is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or the Buccaneers would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, potentially moving the market price.