TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first half of their upcoming football game. Each outcome represents different point differentials that determine whether a specific condition is met during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the designated Pro Football game between the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each market's title. Only points scored during the first half count toward resolution, regardless of the final full-game result. Markets are structured with varying thresholds for both teams, ranging from narrow margins like 2.5 points to larger gaps of 10.5 points, allowing participants to assess different levels of dominance. The markets are independent, and no single rule governs all outcomes—each resolves strictly according to its stated point differential condition.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Generally, you’ll find that this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook’s offering, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the game approaches. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair probability of each spread.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half spread of the Vikings-Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those affecting passing or running games, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market.