TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Washington wins by over 23.5 points
- Kalshi
Washington wins by over 23.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:19m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming professional basketball game, allowing participants to bet on the exact margin of victory for either team. The markets cover a wide range of possible score differences, providing granular options for predicting the game's result.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Milwaukee vs Washington Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 21, 2026. For markets where Washington wins by a specified point margin or more, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Washington's victory meets or exceeds that margin. Conversely, markets where Milwaukee wins by a specified margin resolve to 'Yes' if Milwaukee's win meets or exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets are thought to be highly efficient, incorporating information quickly and accurately. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison and identifying potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the final margin of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Milwaukee versus Washington game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result, and any adjustments made by the league will be taken into consideration. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Milwaukee or Washington teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news events, such as a major trade or a significant shift in public perception, could also cause volatility. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game's outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.