TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball event focuses on individual team scoring performance during the Milwaukee vs St. Louis game on July 9, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will score above specific run thresholds independently.
The Milwaukee vs St. Louis game scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT will be evaluated based on individual team scoring performance. St. Louis outcomes measure whether that team scores above thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 runs. Milwaukee outcomes measure whether that team scores above thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 runs. Each outcome resolves independently based on the final game score, with a Yes resolution requiring the specified team to score above the stated threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect real-time consensus from traders betting their own capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which venue's participants have fresher information or stronger conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself, though neither is inherently more accurate—each reflects its own market's collective judgment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the current market price visible to all participants in real time. Traders can execute market orders to buy or sell immediately at posted prices, or place limit orders to wait for their target price. The spread between bid and ask reflects the market's liquidity and uncertainty about the final team total.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the Milwaukee versus St. Louis game concludes and the final combined score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official game result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout based on the market's final price, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion, after official scorekeeping is finalized.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements affecting either team's roster, lineup changes or trades, recent offensive and defensive performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Public betting patterns and sharp-money positioning can also shift prices as new information emerges. Preseason momentum, head-to-head matchup history, and coaching adjustments may influence trader expectations about scoring pace. As game time approaches, late-breaking news—such as a star player being ruled out—can trigger sharp repricing, while the market may also drift gradually as traders update their forecasts based on updated team form and injury reports.