TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Milwaukee and St. Louis on July 8, 2026 will be analyzed for individual team run totals. Bettors can wager on whether St. Louis or Milwaukee will score above various run thresholds during the game.
Resolution is based on the individual runs scored by each team in their professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. St. Louis outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Milwaukee outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). The final official score at the end of regulation determines the result.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect trader conviction and real-money positioning. This market aggregates the views of many independent participants making directional bets, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian sentiment compared to traditional sports betting lines. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by predicting whether the combined team total will exceed or fall short of the threshold, and the price reflects the marginal probability at which the last trade occurred. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the market price adjusts dynamically to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Milwaukee vs St. Louis game concludes and the final combined score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle based on whether the actual team total matched the market's prediction threshold, with winners and losers determined by the final official score.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team performance trends that affect scoring potential. Weather conditions, home-court advantage, and head-to-head matchup history can also influence expectations around offensive and defensive output. Breaking news about player availability, coaching decisions, or momentum shifts in either team's season may prompt traders to reassess their positions, causing the market price to shift. Real-time game updates and pre-game analysis from credible sports sources often trigger repricing as the event approaches.