TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether St. Louis will defeat Milwaukee in the first game of their doubleheader matchup. On Kalshi, St. Louis victory is priced at 76.0%, while a Milwaukee win stands at 25.0%. The market resolves based on the final score of the professional baseball game scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT. Watch for the game's completion on July 7 to determine the outcome.
This market covers the Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game 1 of the doubleheader originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus—no house edge. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants without the friction of traditional bookmaking, which can make it more responsive to new information. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers' expertise and real-time adjustment. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of how the market is evaluating each team's chances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with the spread between bid and ask representing the current uncertainty. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the market's price discovery process ensures that odds remain competitive and responsive to incoming signals about the matchup.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the matchup. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as traders incorporate injury reports, lineup changes, weather updates, and other relevant information. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point all contracts are settled according to the actual outcome.
Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before the game begins. Injury announcements—particularly to star players or key pitchers—often trigger sharp moves. Lineup changes, weather forecasts, and recent team performance trends all influence trader positioning. Betting action at major sportsbooks can signal sharp money and move this market as well. Pregame commentary from analysts and expert predictions may sway retail traders. Even minor roster updates or coaching decisions can ripple through the market. The closer you get to game time, the more stable prices typically become, but any surprise development could create trading opportunities right up until the opening pitch.