TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market focuses on the outcome of the first seven innings of the Milwaukee vs St. Louis game on July 6, 2026, allowing bettors to wager on which team leads or if the score is tied after seven complete innings.
Resolution is determined by the score at the end of the first 7 innings of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. Milwaukee wins if Milwaukee has more runs than St. Louis after 7 innings; St. Louis wins if St. Louis has more runs than Milwaukee after 7 innings. If the score is tied after 7 innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect the collective assessment of thousands of traders with real money at stake, often incorporating information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. While sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and manage liability across many bets, prediction markets like this one aggregate distributed knowledge from participants who profit by accurately forecasting outcomes. Both sources can diverge based on timing, liquidity, and how each prices uncertainty—making side-by-side comparison useful for identifying value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves as new orders flow in. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution. Liquidity and spreads vary depending on trading volume and how close the event is to occurring.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the first seven innings of the Milwaukee versus St. Louis game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team is ahead after exactly seven innings have been played. Resolution occurs automatically once the game data is confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions and collect winnings or losses based on their predictions.
Key catalysts include injury reports or roster changes announced before game time, weather conditions that might affect play, recent team performance and momentum, and any lineup adjustments. As the game approaches, live betting action and early inning developments will shift prices sharply. Breaking news about player availability, umpire assignments, or ballpark conditions can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders monitor sports news outlets and team announcements closely to identify edges before the market fully reflects new information.