TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 16th. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Milwaukee Brewers to win at 93.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Given the resolution rules and potential for differing interpretations, be sure to monitor the official game result following the scheduled 6:40PM ET start time on September 16th.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game scheduled for September 16, 2026, at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for both teams are separate, each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who buy and sell contracts, creating odds based on what people believe will happen. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incentivizes participants to share their knowledge and insights. It's also common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
Numerous signals could impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, and significant trades are all likely to cause price fluctuations. Major upsets during the regular season or early playoff rounds could dramatically alter perceptions of team strengths. News regarding pitching rotations, managerial decisions, and even weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Any event that changes the perceived probability of either team winning the championship has the potential to move this market, as traders adjust their positions based on new information.