TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First Inning Run
kalshi
opinion

Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First Inning Run

Volume:
$500,795

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 7:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500,795
N/A
N/A
$376,856
Settled
No
opinion

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group covers two distinct betting markets for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB game scheduled for August 15, 2026. The first market resolves based on which team wins the game, while the second resolves based on whether either team scores a run in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets resolve against fundamentally different criteria: one measures game outcome, the other measures first-inning scoring.Hero tip: Do not confuse these markets — they settle based on different game events. The Opinion market resolves based on final game result; the Kalshi market resolves based on first-inning scoring alone.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to Milwaukee Brewers if they win the game, Los Angeles Dodgers if they win, 50-50 for ties or cancellations — based on final score including extra innings.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning of the game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-15 02:10 UTC: If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first inning run market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on Kalshi and Opinion price the chance of a run being scored in the first inning. It displays total volume of $500,795 and 24-hour volume of $491,903, offering a consensus view of market sentiment as betting unfolds.

On Kalshi and Opinion, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity levels. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting from baseball enthusiasts who value specific pitcher's historical first-inning performance, while the other could be influenced by broader trading trends. These distinct participant dynamics often create price gaps until activity balances.

Injuries to key starters, weather delays affecting lineup decisions, and recent team performance in early-inning situations can all shift this market. Any update that changes the perceived likelihood of an early run—such as a pitcher’s dominant spring training starts or a sudden slump—may cause rapid price adjustments on both Kalshi and Opinion as traders react.