TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether either the Milwaukee Brewers or Houston Astros will score a run during the first inning of their matchup. The leading outcome—that at least one run will be scored in the opening frame—stands at 49.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official result of the game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive trends and starting pitcher matchups leading up to first pitch on May 29, 2026, as early offensive momentum often signals whether runs will come quickly.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders wagering their own capital, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs without a built-in spread. The Milwaukee vs Houston first inning market may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks because traders incorporate live information, team news, and weather updates continuously. Comparing Kalshi odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or confirm alignment between venues.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026, shortly after the completion of the first inning of the Milwaukee vs Houston game. Resolution is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that inning. Once the first inning concludes, the outcome is locked in and contracts settle to either 100 cents (if a run scored) or 0 cents (if no runs scored). Traders should monitor game start time and any schedule changes to ensure they are positioned before first pitch.
Several factors can shift odds before the game begins: lineup announcements revealing key hitters or pitchers, weather conditions affecting ball carry and pitcher control, injury reports on star players, and recent team performance trends in early innings. Bullpen or starting pitcher changes can significantly alter first-inning run probability. Real-time updates during pre-game warm-ups—such as visible swing adjustments or pitcher arm strength—may also trigger trader repositioning. Monitor sports news and team social media for late-breaking developments that could influence first-inning scoring dynamics.