TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for early June 2026 in the afternoon. The event concerns whether either team will score during the opening inning of play.
On Kalshi, the Milwaukee vs Colorado First Inning Run contract is priced as a binary outcome between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their belief about whether a run will score in the first inning. The price discovery process reflects collective expectations from all active traders on the platform. As new information emerges—such as lineup announcements or weather updates—prices adjust in real time to reflect changing probabilities.
The Milwaukee vs Colorado First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, following the completion of the first inning of the game. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that inning. Once the first inning concludes, the market settles based on the official game result. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds before the game begins. Lineup announcements, particularly the starting pitchers and batting order, significantly influence first-inning scoring probability. Weather conditions at the stadium—wind direction and speed affect ball carry—can impact offensive potential. Injury updates to key hitters or pitchers alter team composition. Recent team performance trends, such as hot or cold streaks in early-inning scoring, also drive trader sentiment. Breaking news about roster changes or managerial decisions closer to game time may trigger sharp price movements as traders reassess first-inning scoring likelihood.