TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Milwaukee vs Cincinnati
predict
kalshi

Milwaukee vs Cincinnati

Volume:
$4,024,179

Milwaukee

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 24, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,048,652
N/A
N/A
$1,094,948
Settled
Yes
predict

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,152
$71,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,903,742
N/A
N/A
$1,170,355
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Milwaukee Brewers versus Cincinnati Reds Major League Baseball game scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Across Predict and Kalshi, the consensus probability for a Milwaukee victory stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the game as it concludes on June 24, 2026, with settlement occurring by June 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cincinnati win and Milwaukee win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Predict uses standard binary logic with distinct outcomes for each team.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is unresolvable in its current form. Avoid trading on Kalshi until the rules are corrected. Predict's market follows proper binary resolution logic and should be treated as the authoritative reference for this matchup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Cincinnati winning and Milwaukee winning resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper market settlement. The market cannot differentiate between the two possible outcomes.
  • Predict: Standard binary outcome: Milwaukee Brewers win resolves to Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds win resolves to Cincinnati Reds. Tie or cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution source is official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Milwaukee vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for June 24 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders risking real capital to discover true probabilities. This market's odds reflect what informed traders believe will happen, often diverging from sportsbook spreads by several percentage points. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and trader conviction misalign, offering insight into potential value.

Kalshi and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or less-active markets can see wider bid-ask spreads and slower price discovery, while differences in how each platform structures outcomes—such as tie handling or payout mechanics—can also create temporary gaps. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but during low-volume periods, divergence can persist longer than on high-traffic events.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff seeding implications can also shift trader conviction significantly. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price moves, as does momentum from either team's recent wins or losses. Monitor team news feeds and sports media closely in the days leading up to game time for the most impactful updates.