TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Milwaukee vs Atlanta game on June 20, 2026. Bettors predict whether Atlanta or Milwaukee will each score above various run thresholds independently.
Resolution is based on the individual final run totals for Atlanta and Milwaukee in the game originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. Atlanta's scoring is evaluated against thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 runs, with Yes outcomes when Atlanta scores at or above the corresponding whole number (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs respectively). Milwaukee's scoring is similarly evaluated against the same thresholds. The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the resolution for each team independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks depending on whether informed traders or casual bettors dominate activity. Comparing the two can reveal where professional and public sentiment align or conflict on the likely team total outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability traders assign to that outcome at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, causing the price to move. The spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on liquidity and conviction, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the Milwaukee vs Atlanta game concludes and the final combined team score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether the total points scored by both teams exceeds or falls short of the specified threshold. Resolution occurs automatically after the event is finalized and confirmed, ensuring all traders receive payouts based on the actual result. No further action is required from participants after the game ends.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements affecting either team's offensive or defensive capability, lineup changes, recent scoring trends, and weather conditions on game day. Public betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side can also shift prices as traders react to perceived value. Pregame commentary from analysts, team motivation levels, and head-to-head matchup dynamics may influence trader positioning. As the game approaches, real-time updates during warm-ups and opening plays can trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available.