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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals?

Volume:
$1,285,561

Over 4.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,639
N/A
N/A
$35,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,751
N/A
N/A
$23,791
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,702
N/A
N/A
$4,618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,499
N/A
N/A
$4,398
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$589
$4,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$225,883
N/A
N/A
$83,178
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,662
N/A
N/A
$79,418
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66,759
N/A
N/A
$45,934
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,987
N/A
N/A
$15,558
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,636
N/A
N/A
$14,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 12.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,387
N/A
N/A
$7,794
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Intro

This market tracks the first-five-innings spread outcome in the July 8, 2026 matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, with the St. Louis Cardinals favored at minus-1.5 runs. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict shows 100.0% probability for the Cardinals covering the first-five-innings spread. Resolution will be determined by official MLB final statistics from MLB.com, or by credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the game's first-inning action on July 8 at 7:45 PM ET, as early scoring will be critical to the first-five-innings outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: official MLB statistics as primary source, credible reporting as fallback, 24-hour publication window, and consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics (MLB.com); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers wins if they score more runs than St. Louis Cardinals; St. Louis Cardinals wins if they score more runs than Milwaukee Brewers
  • Spread (Full Game): Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 resolves to Brewers if they win by 2+ runs, otherwise Cardinals; St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 resolves to Cardinals if they win by 2+ runs, otherwise Brewers
  • Spread (First 5 Innings): Same logic as full-game spreads but measured at conclusion of 5th inning only
  • Over/Under (Full Game): Over 8.5 resolves Yes if combined runs >= 9; Under if combined runs < 9
  • Over/Under (First 5 Innings): Over/Under thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5) resolve Yes if combined runs exceed threshold by conclusion of 5th inning
  • First Inning Scoring: Yes if at least 1 run scored by either team in 1st inning; No if 0 runs scored
  • Extra Innings: Yes if game proceeds to 10th inning or beyond; No if game completes in regulation (9 innings)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: All markets remain open until the game is completed. Makeup game date is determined by checking the home team's (St. Louis Cardinals) schedule on MLB.com for a game marked as makeup game.
  • Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled.
  • Moneyline Tie: If the game ends in a tie (rare in MLB but possible in extra innings under certain rules), the moneyline market resolves 50-50.
  • Spread Tie at Threshold: If the score differential equals exactly the spread threshold (e.g., exactly 1.5 runs for -1.5 spread), the favored team does not cover; the opposite team wins the market.
  • Extra Innings Tie Before 10th: If the game ends in a tie before extra innings are played (no play begins in 10th inning), the extra innings market resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 24 hours after official game conclusion. If official MLB statistics are not published within 24 hours, credible reporting consensus is used for immediate resolution. Postponed games extend the resolution window until the makeup game is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 8 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the combined runs scored by Milwaukee and St. Louis in their professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds its specified threshold (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5, or 12.5 runs). The final official score at the end of regulation determines the result.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 8 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets reflect what traders actually believe will happen—no house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because prediction traders incorporate live information, public sentiment, and injury updates in real time. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp money disagrees with conventional betting lines, often signaling value opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and trading strategies, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket may emphasize one outcome more heavily due to its user base's conviction or risk appetite, while Kalshi reflects a different distribution of beliefs. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist due to withdrawal delays, platform fees, and regional access restrictions. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand where consensus is strongest.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Bullpen depth, starting pitcher form, and weather conditions on game day often shift odds significantly. Public betting patterns and sharp money flows also influence pricing as the event approaches. Monitor sports news outlets and team social media for late-breaking updates—a surprise lineup change or weather alert can trigger rapid repricing across both platforms within hours of first pitch.