TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 10 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 10 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders on this market may incorporate real-time lineup changes, weather updates, or injury reports faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against published sportsbook spreads and moneylines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all active traders; as demand shifts, prices adjust in real time. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the outcome before the market resolves. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions throughout the trading window.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Announced lineup changes, trades, or injury updates to key players on either roster will likely trigger repricing. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and precipitation—affect ball carry and pitcher performance. Recent team form, head-to-head matchups, and bullpen availability also influence trader sentiment. As game time approaches, any breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves can cause sharp moves in the odds, rewarding traders who react quickly to new information.