TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 22:40 UTC: If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 22:40 UTC: If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of public interest. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Brewers-Pirates game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays in the official reporting of the game’s results may impact the exact resolution time, but the outcome will be based on the officially recorded score and result of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the game is played. News regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could all significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or any controversies surrounding the teams could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information is being factored into the market, causing a rapid adjustment in probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential direction of this market.