TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:22 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-18 23:05 UTC: If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-18 23:05 UTC: If the Milwaukee Brewers win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations, whereas this market relies solely on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities surrounding the game’s outcome.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Baltimore Orioles, as reported by a reliable sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting game conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of team morale issues might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant public betting trends in sportsbooks, while not directly reflected on Opinion, can sometimes indirectly influence trader behavior and move the market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds.