TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Millwall and Newcastle in the EFL Cup. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored during the regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties) of the Millwall vs Newcastle EFL Cup match scheduled for September 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the final goal count within regulation time. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand from individuals actively trading. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant event or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Millwall vs Newcastle match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Essentially, the market price represents what it costs to take a position on a specific goal total.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the total number of goals scored during regulation time in the Millwall vs Newcastle match. Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be counted towards the final outcome. The resolution will be determined by official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Millwall or Newcastle would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the perceived likelihood of goals being scored. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could contribute to price movements in this market.