TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Millwall and Bolton. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match outcome exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Millwall vs Bolton professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time, penalty shootouts, or any post-match decisions do not factor into the resolution. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored exceed that threshold. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks incorporate factors like team news and public betting patterns, while this market aggregates individual predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Millwall vs Bolton match and the total goals scored, though this market represents a distinct view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, ranges of total goals scored in the Millwall vs Bolton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time discovery of probabilities based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Millwall vs Bolton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 5, 2026 resolution. Key injuries to star players on either the Millwall or Bolton squad would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team formations, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different goalscoring scenarios can move this market.