TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 6:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Millwall FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Millwall FC" if Millwall FC score more goals than Newcastle United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Millwall FC and Newcastle United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC score more goals than Millwall FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Millwall FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Millwall FC" if Millwall FC score more goals than Newcastle United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Millwall FC and Newcastle United FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC score more goals than Millwall FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market shows a strong lean toward one side, which often differs from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets reflect real-money trader sentiment and can diverge noticeably from bookmaker odds, which incorporate different models and risk assessments. The current probability on Polymarket highlights trader confidence, while sportsbooks may balance their lines differently to manage exposure. Monitoring both can reveal shifts in public and professional expectations as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 45 minutes of regular play determines the winner, and any official match updates will finalize the market. No additional procedures are required beyond confirming the result against trusted sports data sources.
Key moments like team announcements, player injuries, or weather updates could shift expectations and move this market. Trading activity on Polymarket will react to any news affecting the teams’ second-half performance potential. As the match nears, early first-half results, tactical changes, or crowd momentum may also influence odds, especially if they suggest a likely second-half outcome change.