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$134.1b

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC?

Volume:
$1,089,666

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215,872
N/A
N/A
$133,129
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC)

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.2¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Millwall

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367,929
N/A
N/A
$217,501
Settled
No
polymarket

Millwall FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Millwall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Middlesbrough

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$356,221
N/A
N/A
$185,508
Settled
No
polymarket

Middlesbrough FC

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Middlesbrough

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a single EFL Championship soccer match between Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC, scheduled for September 15, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability that the match will end in a draw is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official result reported at https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on official announcements from the EFL regarding the match schedule, as the resolution hinges on the game being played on September 15, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A discrepancy exists in the scheduled game date (September 8th vs. September 15th) and the handling of complete game cancellations.Hero tip: Focus on markets using the September 15th date for increased clarity and robustness against complete cancellations. Be mindful of the Polymarket cancellation rule.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on a game scheduled for September 8, 2026. If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves 'No'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves based on a game scheduled for September 15, 2026. If the game is canceled and an official result is recognized, the market resolves based on that result. "If Tie is the result of the Middlesbrough vs Millwall professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Limitless: The market resolves based on a game scheduled for September 15, 2026. If the game is canceled and an official result is recognized, the market resolves based on that result. If no official result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, the market resolves 'NO'. "If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve 'NO'."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Middlesbrough vs Millwall professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Middlesbrough wins, the 'Middlesbrough' market resolves to Yes. If Millwall wins, the 'Millwall' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 15, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and perceived risk, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. The current volume of $1,089,666 suggests active trading and evolving sentiment around this match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which influences price formation. Additionally, the specific contract design and the fees associated with trading on each platform can create variations. While both platforms currently favor Middlesbrough winning, the degree of confidence, as reflected in the probabilities, may not be identical due to these differing market dynamics and user participation. The volume on Polymarket is currently higher, potentially indicating greater conviction there.