This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Middlesbrough FC and Bristol City FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Middlesbrough win, draw, Bristol City win) and Kalshi (three separate yes/no markets for each outcome). All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time-window logic (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and apply the same three mutually exclusive outcomes (Middlesbrough win, draw, Bristol City win). Edge case handling is substantially aligned, with minor differences in cancellation language that do not materially affect resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL Championship match records and final score as recorded by the English Football League
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Middlesbrough FC win, draw, or Bristol City FC win
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
If the match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi markets resolve based on the absence of a completed match
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed. Resolution occurs after the rescheduled match final whistle.
Cancellation without makeup: On Polymarket: Middlesbrough win and Bristol City win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. On Kalshi: markets resolve based on the match not occurring (no Yes resolution for any outcome).
Extra time or penalties: If the match proceeds to extra time or a penalty shootout, only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is used for resolution. Extra time and penalty outcomes are ignored.
Match date: Resolution occurs on or after March 14, 2026, following the final whistle of the match.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle on March 14, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official EFL Championship match record.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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