TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to bet on the margin of victory for either team. The markets cover a range of possible score differences, reflecting different levels of confidence in the expected performance of each team.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville St. college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Jacksonville St. must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if Jacksonville St. wins by more than that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Middle Tennessee must win by a specified margin, the market resolves to Yes only if Middle Tennessee wins by more than that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time information and the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts for the Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State spread is determined by the forces of supply and demand. Traders place bids and asks, and the market continuously adjusts to find a price where buyers and sellers agree. This process creates a real-time estimate of the probability of different spread outcomes. The current volume of $187,177 indicates the level of activity and interest in this market, influencing how quickly prices respond to new information. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, the market price represents the collective prediction of all participants.
This market will resolve around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome determined by the official final spread of the Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State game. The result will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an objective and accurate determination. The platform will use this verified spread to determine which contracts payout and at what value. This process ensures that the market accurately reflects the real-world outcome of the game and provides a fair resolution for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Middle Tennessee or Jacksonville State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might influence how traders assess the likelihood of Jacksonville State covering the spread. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role.