TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Mickey Gall vs. Sedriques Dumas: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Mickey Gall vs Sedriques Dumas?

Volume:
$1,362

Decision / Draw / No Contest

 - Kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 12:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
30%
14%
Yes 30¢No 70¢
100¢
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
$1,008
Settled
No
kalshi

Mickey Gall to win in Round 1

View
16%
10%
Yes 16¢No 84¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Sedriques Dumas to win in Round 1

View
16%
Yes 16¢No 84¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Mickey Gall to win in Round 2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mickey Gall to win in Round 3

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sedriques Dumas to win in Round 2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sedriques Dumas to win in Round 3

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market focuses on predicting whether Mickey Gall or Sedriques Dumas will secure a victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a specific round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Alternatively, it considers if the fight concludes with a decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome of the Mickey Gall vs. Sedriques Dumas UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for September 26, 2026, based on how and when a competitor achieves victory. If either fighter wins by knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification in Rounds 1, 2, or 3, the corresponding market for that fighter and round resolves to Yes. A victory by decision—whether split, unanimous, or majority—or a draw, no contest, or technical decision (which is classified as a decision for settlement purposes) across the full fight duration resolves the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” market to Yes. Importantly, a technical decision does not count as a win in any specific round, ensuring that only definitive stoppages in the specified rounds trigger the respective round-specific outcomes. The markets are independent, with each round and outcome type clearly defined, allowing participants to bet on precise scenarios within the fight's progression.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, there can be initial discrepancies, with sportsbooks setting lines based on their own models and public betting patterns. As more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds on Kalshi often converge with, or even anticipate, changes in sportsbook lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Gall vs. Dumas fight, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price, and the higher the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which fighter won the fight, or if the fight ends in a draw. The official result declared by the relevant athletic commission will be used to settle this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract prices at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available information.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention to this market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway opinions and lead to increased volume. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning the Gall vs. Dumas fight has the potential to move this market.