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406,065

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2,692

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5

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Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

Volume:
$218,946

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

 - Polymarket

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iowa

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102,865
0%
0%
$77,561
N/A
kalshi

Michigan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,679
0%
0%
$80,336
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Michigan Wolverines and Iowa Hawkeyes scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets around the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Iowa win and Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Trade only on Polymarket for this matchup. Kalshi's market structure is broken and will likely require manual intervention or cancellation at settlement. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected market specification.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Michigan win resolves to Michigan Wolverines; Iowa win resolves to Iowa Hawkeyes. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Defective tautological logic: both Iowa win and Michigan win map to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No outcome. Market is logically unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.