TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.7b
24H VOL:
$131,901,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,919,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,774,922,189
501,089
Markets across
37,703
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,845
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Minnesota
- Kalshi
Minnesota - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 3, 2026
Closed: Oct 3, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Minnesota or Michigan will win their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Currently, the market on Kalshi indicates a 85.0% probability of Minnesota winning, with Michigan at 15.0%. The resolution source for this market is whether Michigan wins the Michigan vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 3, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market and when it resolves.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Michigan vs Minnesota college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market adapts dynamically as new information emerges and traders refine their assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites and information access between market participants and sportsbook operators.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Michigan-Minnesota football game, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The market will determine which outcome—a win for either team—is the accurate result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the odds. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even significant changes in public sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations. Any late-breaking news or developments related to the game will be quickly reflected in the trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.