TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oklahoma Sooners (W)
Volume:
$634,864
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Michigan State Spartans and Oklahoma Sooners on March 22 at 8:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either team winning (binary collapse), while Polymarket resolves to the specific winner name (categorical outcome). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution structures for the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi expecting a YES resolution, you will receive YES regardless of which team wins. On Polymarket, you must pick the specific winner (Michigan State Spartans or Oklahoma Sooners). Do not assume Kalshi YES equals Polymarket Michigan State Spartans — Kalshi YES covers both outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if either Michigan State or Oklahoma wins the game. The market collapses both possible outcomes into a single YES resolution, with no distinction between winners. Key quote: 'If Michigan St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to the specific team name (Michigan State Spartans or Oklahoma Sooners) based on final score. This is a categorical outcome market, not binary. Key quote: 'If the Michigan State Spartans win, the market will resolve to Michigan State Spartans. If the Oklahoma Sooners win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma Sooners.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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