TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

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$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)

Volume:
$311,290

Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)

 - Polymarket

Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michigan

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$987,814
$132,808
0%
0%
$100,736
N/A
kalshi

Michigan St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$976,522
$177,689
0%
0%
$107,052
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Michigan State Spartans and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Michigan win and Michigan State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name). These are incompatible settlement structures.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the logic error is clarified with the platform. Polymarket's structure is standard and resolvable. Confirm with Kalshi support whether this is a documentation error or if there is a third outcome (tie, cancellation) that resolves to No.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution stated for both possible game outcomes. Logic states: Michigan win = Yes, Michigan State win = Yes. This is internally contradictory and makes the market logically unresolvable. No explicit No condition is defined.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution to team name. Resolves to either Michigan State Spartans or Michigan Wolverines based on final score. Includes explicit edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.