TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Michigan St. vs Notre Dame: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Michigan St. vs Notre Dame?

Volume:
$7,609

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 10:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
$644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,531
N/A
N/A
$900
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$375
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$340
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 19.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Notre Dame. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by the winning team in that quarter for the market to resolve positively.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential achieved by the winning team exclusively during the fourth quarter of the Michigan St. vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold by more than the stated margin during regulation fourth-quarter play, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they may have engaged with.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Michigan State vs Notre Dame spread tracks the current price of contracts representing whether Michigan State will win the 4th quarter by more or less than 3.5 points. You can view the historical price movements of this market, giving insight into how traders’ expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,729, and the total volume traded to date, which is $7,609. This provides a clear picture of market activity and interest in this particular matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either the prediction market or sportsbook, depending on their assessment of the event.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Michigan State versus Notre Dame game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether Michigan State won the 4th quarter by more than 3.5 points, exactly 3.5 points, or less than 3.5 points. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Michigan State or Notre Dame would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths could drive trading activity and alter the price. Unexpected developments during the game itself, even before the 4th quarter, could also cause fluctuations.