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406,065

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30,522

events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Michigan St. vs Notre Dame: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Michigan St. vs Notre Dame?

Volume:
$14,355

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 10:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,776
N/A
N/A
$5,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,081
N/A
N/A
$1,081
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$687
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$586
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$444
N/A
N/A
$441
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 19.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 3Q by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan St. wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which one team could lead over the other during that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in a single game segment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Michigan St. vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins that quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting uncertainty rather than a definitive win or loss. The markets cover a range of differentials for both teams, from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps exceeding 23.5 points, enabling varied speculative positions on third-quarter performance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Michigan State vs Notre Dame spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $8,029, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $14,355. This provides insight into trader interest and activity surrounding the game's third-quarter spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Michigan State vs Notre Dame game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Successful contracts will be those predicting the actual spread, and payouts will be determined by the contract's price at the time of resolution. The outcome is based on official game statistics and is not subject to subjective interpretation.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan State or Notre Dame teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant updates on team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Finally, even general public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere can influence trading activity on Kalshi.