TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Michigan State and Notre Dame. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Michigan St. vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference in pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Michigan State vs Notre Dame game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and confirm their winnings or losses shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan State or Notre Dame teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role in driving price movements.