TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between Michigan State and Notre Dame. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the second half, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the latter portion of the game.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated game. If Notre Dame wins the second half by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Notre Dame wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Michigan State achieves the required margin, the relevant 'Michigan St. wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the actual outcome. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Michigan State vs Notre Dame football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Michigan State or Notre Dame teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, may also play a role in shaping the price of this market.