TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market addresses the first map of the same Valorant match between MIBR and Leviatán Esports. The result hinges on which team claims victory in this initial map of the competition. Similar to the second map market, any postponement beyond 48 hours, cancellation, or forfeiture before or during play leads to a fair market resolution, reflecting official outcomes or conditions if the map commences and is later forfeited.
The market determines the winner of map 1 in the designated Valorant match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. Should the map start and subsequently be forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body. The market stays open only if the map starts within 48 hours of its scheduled time; otherwise, it resolves fairly, ensuring consistency with actual event developments and authoritative outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can shift more rapidly. This allows for potentially sharper or more volatile pricing, reflecting crowd wisdom rather than institutional forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and can fluctuate quickly based on new information, gameplay developments, or shifts in market sentiment. Volume of $123,373 over the last 24 hours shows how active trading is for this outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, specifically which team secures the first map victory. Once the match concludes and results are publicly confirmed, the market settles automatically based on that definitive outcome.
Key signals such as team announcements, player injuries, recent performance metrics, and pre-match analyst predictions could shift this market. Any last-minute roster changes or strategic updates may also influence trader sentiment. As the match start time nears, updated betting trends and live pre-game commentary often cause noticeable price swings, reflecting evolving expectations among participants.