TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
MIBR LOS and 100 Thieves compete in Map 1 of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 10, 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard Valorant competitive rules.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Valorant match between MIBR LOS and 100 Thieves scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map according to official tournament rules and scoring.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied win probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether traders see value the books have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with conventional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that result. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price up or down. You can enter limit or market orders to position yourself, and the spread between buy and sell prices indicates liquidity and conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the Map 1 result is final and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map according to the official match broadcast and scoring. No further action is required from you after the map concludes; the platform automatically settles positions based on the verified result. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Team roster changes, recent map performance, player form, and pre-match analysis can all shift odds before the match begins. In-game events like early round wins, economy management, and tactical plays will drive price swings during Map 1 itself. Injury announcements, coaching adjustments, or unexpected lineup changes can trigger sharp moves. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and live commentary also influence trader behavior, so monitoring these channels helps you anticipate market momentum.