TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 2:05 PM EST
Kalshi
MIBR Academy and Isurus compete in the second map of their Counter-Strike 2 match during the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 2026. The winner of this individual map advances their position in the match.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of map 2 in the MIBR Academy vs. Isurus CS2 match scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT as part of the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional sportsbooks depending on liquidity and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting markets, though both sources provide useful reference points for assessing team performance expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and offers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and pending orders, updating in real time as new information emerges. Traders can enter or exit positions throughout the market's lifetime, and the equilibrium price balances supply and demand. Wider bid-ask spreads may indicate lower liquidity or higher uncertainty, while tight spreads suggest strong consensus or active participation.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result as recorded by the esports league or tournament organizer. Resolution occurs after any post-match reviews or official confirmations are complete, ensuring accuracy. Traders holding positions at resolution will see their contracts settled based on the confirmed outcome.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, recent tournament results, and player performance trends leading up to the match. Pre-match interviews, coaching adjustments, or public statements about strategy can shift trader sentiment. In-game factors like map selection, side assignment, and early round outcomes may also influence market pricing if trading remains active during the event. Injury announcements, technical issues, or unexpected lineup swaps closer to match time could trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.