TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami Week 1 Starting Quarterback?
kalshi

Miami Week 1 Starting Quarterback?

Volume:
$4,355

Malik Willis

 - Kalshi

Malik Willis - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 9:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,416
N/A
N/A
$1,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Quinn Ewers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,497
N/A
N/A
$1,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Tua Tagovailoa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyler Murray

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Mendoza

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Richardson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jimmy Garoppolo

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Spencer Rattler

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Dalton

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Lock

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mac Jones

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyrod Taylor

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mitchell Trubisky

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Fields

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Simpson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Garrett Nussmeier

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Flacco

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameis Winston

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Mariota

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Beck

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zach Wilson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Levis

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks which quarterback will be officially designated as Miami's starter for Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Malik Willis is currently favored at 95.0% to start, reflecting expectations about the Dolphins' quarterback situation heading into the new season. The market will resolve based on the official designation from Miami's coaching staff, as confirmed by the resolution source. Watch for any official announcements or roster moves from the Dolphins organization leading up to the September 15, 2026 Week 1 kickoff, which will clarify the team's starting quarterback decision.

Kalshi

Position designation is determined by the official depth chart published by Miami for Week 1 of the 2026-27 Pro Football season. If no official depth chart is available, the designation comes from official team communications such as injury reports or press releases. If the player is injured but still officially listed at the starting position, the market resolves to Yes. Practice squad and inactive players do not qualify unless officially promoted to the active roster at the starting position.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect direct participant belief rather than bookmaker margin optimization. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit; prediction markets aggregate trader conviction without a built-in spread. For the Miami starting quarterback decision, prediction market prices may move faster or slower than sportsbooks depending on which venue attracts more informed participants. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist among different betting communities.

The Miami Week 1 Starting Quarterback market resolves on Sep 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by official NFL records and team announcements confirming which quarterback takes the first snap for Miami in their Week 1 game. The outcome is objective and verifiable through league sources, team rosters, and game footage. Traders should monitor official team communications and injury updates leading up to the resolution date to make informed trading decisions.

Key catalysts for price movement include injury announcements affecting Tua Tagovailoa or backup quarterbacks, preseason performance and statistics, depth chart updates from Miami coaching staff, and trade or free-agent signings at the position. Coaching decisions or public statements about starter plans will directly influence trader conviction. Training camp reports and joint practices against other teams provide real-time performance data. Media speculation and analyst commentary can also shift sentiment. Any unexpected roster moves or medical developments will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their probability estimates.