TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Miami and Toronto. Each market corresponds to a specific winning condition based on the goal difference, reflecting how decisively either team might prevail. The outcomes hinge solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively evaluate the outcome of the professional MLS soccer match between Miami and Toronto scheduled for August 22, 2026, focusing exclusively on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals, Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals, Toronto wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Toronto wins by more than 2.5 goals, each corresponding to distinct thresholds for victory margins. These rules ensure that only the outright win and its magnitude determine the resolution, without regard to tiebreaker methods such as extra time or penalty kicks. Additionally, all markets clarify that the platform hosting them is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader sentiment and recent team performance.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Toronto has won by more than 1.5 goals over Miami, and that official result will settle all positions according to the rules of Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategies, or significant performance changes for either team could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any major news — such as lineup announcements or weather conditions affecting the game — may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as bettors reassess Toronto’s chances of covering the spread before Aug 23, 2026.