TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual team scoring performance in the Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals game on June 26, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether each team scores above specific run thresholds independently.
The Miami vs St. Louis game scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT will be evaluated based on individual team run totals. St. Louis outcomes are determined by whether the team scores 2 or more, 3 or more, 4 or more, 5 or more, 6 or more, 7 or more, or 8 or more runs. Miami outcomes are determined by whether the team scores 2 or more, 3 or more, 4 or more, 5 or more, 6 or more, 7 or more, or 8 or more runs. Each team's performance is evaluated independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader consensus on the true probability of an outcome. This market may show materially different odds than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if professional bettors or informed traders have identified mispricing. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi believes value lies relative to conventional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price levels. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches orders in real time, and the last executed trade price becomes the current market price visible to all participants. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or use market orders for immediate execution. This transparent, decentralized pricing model means the odds reflect live supply and demand rather than a fixed sportsbook line.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the Miami versus St. Louis game concludes and the final combined team score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league and confirmed through established sports data providers. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle based on whether the actual total falls above or below the strike price they wagered on. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, or coaching decisions that affect offensive or defensive output. Weather conditions on game day—particularly wind and temperature—can significantly impact scoring totals. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede shifts in this market, as sharp bettors may arbitrage between venues. Team performance trends, recent scoring patterns, and any last-minute roster updates closer to kickoff can also trigger repricing. Breaking news about player availability typically generates the most immediate volatility.