TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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Miami vs St. Louis
kalshi
predict

Miami vs St. Louis

Volume:
$1,584,390

Miami

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 9:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$759,976
N/A
N/A
$495,863
Settled
Yes
predict

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,254
$3,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Louis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$821,372
N/A
N/A
$559,099
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the Miami Marlins will defeat the St. Louis Cardinals in their scheduled MLB matchup. Across Kalshi and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows Miami at 99.0% to win the game. The resolution source is the official outcome of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. Watch for any postponements or schedule changes announced before the 7:15 PM EDT game start on June 27, 2026, as resolution handling may diverge across platforms in such scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi omits explicit edge-case rules (postponement, cancellation, tie) while Predict provides comprehensive fallback logic. Both platforms agree on core binary outcome (team win = resolution), but diverge on what happens if the game does not complete or ends in a tie.Hero tip: Trade on Predict if you want certainty on edge cases; Kalshi traders should assume postponement keeps the market open and cancellation/tie may trigger discretionary resolution. Request clarification from Kalshi support if weather or scheduling risk is material to your position.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for either team win. No explicit rules for postponement, cancellation, or tie. Relies on implicit market mechanics. Key Quote: 'If Miami wins the Miami vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: Resolves to team name if that team wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup or tie resolves 50-50. Official final statistics primary source, credible reporting fallback within 24 hours. Key Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

This event covers the Miami vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 27 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve distinct purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, often adjusting for sharp money and liability. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow, reflecting real-time conviction without a built-in house edge. This market's prices on Kalshi and Predict typically converge toward consensus but may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and risk appetites.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader bases, contract structures, and fee schedules that influence pricing. Kalshi and Predict may weight recent team performance, injury reports, or public sentiment differently, and order flow timing can create temporary spreads. Arbitrage opportunities occasionally emerge when one platform lags in incorporating new information, though active traders typically narrow such gaps quickly.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Public betting patterns and sharp money flows on this market itself can also shift prices as traders react to emerging consensus. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and any last-minute lineup adjustments closer to game day may trigger volatility, especially if one team faces unexpected adversity or gains a surprise advantage.