TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Miami vs St. Louis
kalshi
predict

Miami vs St. Louis

Volume:
$3,553,920

Miami

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,992,417
N/A
N/A
$1,008,153
Settled
Yes
predict

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

St. Louis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,559,878
N/A
N/A
$825,588
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Miami Marlins versus St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Predict shows Miami at 99.0% to win. Resolution is determined by the official result of the game on June 26, 2026. Watch for the final outcome when the game concludes on the evening of June 26, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (St. Louis win and Miami win) resolve identically to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument. Predict platform has proper binary structure with distinct outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi until corrected. The market lacks a No resolution state and violates basic prediction market logic. Trade only on Predict, which has standard binary resolution (Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals) plus explicit tie/cancellation handling (50-50 split).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Tautological resolution: Both St. Louis win and Miami win trigger Yes. No No outcome exists. Quote: 'If St. Louis wins...resolves to Yes. If Miami wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: Proper binary structure: Miami Marlins win resolves to Miami Marlins, St. Louis win resolves to St. Louis Cardinals. Tie/cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Miami Marlins if the Miami Marlins win...St. Louis Cardinals if the St. Louis Cardinals win.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

This event covers a professional baseball game between Miami and St. Louis originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 26 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than traditional sportsbook models. Traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, with the market price reflecting collective belief about the result. Unlike sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and manage risk through juice, prediction markets adjust continuously as new information arrives and traders reposition. This often produces sharper, less biased odds because participants have real money at stake and no house edge to maintain. Comparing this market's prices to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rules, user bases, and liquidity conditions. Kalshi may attract different trader demographics or have tighter spreads, while Predict might see heavier volume in certain time windows. Regulatory frameworks and fee structures also vary between venues, influencing how aggressively traders price outcomes. These structural differences mean the same event can trade at slightly different implied probabilities across platforms, creating arbitrage opportunities for alert traders monitoring both simultaneously.

Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff implications can also shift trader positioning significantly. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp repricing across both platforms. Monitor sports media closely in the days leading up to the event, as expert consensus and betting syndicate activity frequently precede major price swings. Early-morning line movement often signals informed traders positioning ahead of broader market awareness.