TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance in a professional football game, focusing on how many total yards each team accumulates during the match. It allows participants to assess and wager on the likelihood of specific yardage thresholds being met by either team. The outcome depends solely on the official game statistics.
The event evaluates whether either team in the Miami vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, achieves specified offensive yardage thresholds. Each market corresponds to a particular yardage benchmark (e.g., 250+, 300+, up to 450+) for either Miami or San Francisco. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team surpasses its assigned yardage threshold during the game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges exclusively on official game statistics, with no external factors influencing the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total yards achieved by each team. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of the likelihood of different yardage totals, influenced by news, injuries, and other relevant factors.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for each team, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the NFL and will reflect the total yards gained by each team during the game, including passing and rushing yards.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or running backs, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could shift expectations and move the market. Unexpected announcements regarding team performance or player availability are also potential catalysts.