TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether De'Von Achane will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in a professional football game between Miami and San Francisco. The outcomes depend entirely on his performance during the match, with various benchmarks set for different levels of success.
All markets resolve based on whether De'Von Achane records the specified rushing yard threshold in the Miami vs San Francisco professional football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If Achane is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Achane takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 30+ to 130+ rushing yards), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if Achane meets or exceeds that specific threshold. The markets are independent, meaning achieving one threshold does not automatically determine the outcome of markets with higher thresholds. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of each rushing yard total, and is constantly updated with each trade.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total rushing yards achieved by both teams during the Miami versus San Francisco game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official NFL statistics will serve as the final data point for resolution, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Miami or San Francisco teams would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in this market.