TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on whether specific Miami Dolphins players achieve various receiving yard thresholds in an upcoming game against the San Francisco 49ers. Each market tracks a different player and a different yardage benchmark, allowing bettors to speculate on individual performance levels.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified Miami Dolphins players during the game against San Francisco on Sep 20, 2026. If a player records the stated threshold or more receiving yards, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Secondary rules address scenarios where a player is active but does not take any snaps—the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap (even if nullified by penalty), settlement is determined solely by actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These provisions apply uniformly across all markets for each named player and yardage threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially focus on publicly available data, this market can quickly incorporate less obvious factors and adjust accordingly. Comparing the two can be a useful strategy for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receiving yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of market expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. The total receiving yards achieved by all players on both teams will be used to determine the final outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of their positions.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect passing games, could also shift prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence market sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could also lead to price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations before the market closes.