TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Miami vs San Francisco: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$2,364

Deebo Samuel Sr.: over 16.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.: over 16.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.: over 16.5 yards

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Kittle: over 18.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malik Washington: over 17.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Demarcus Robinson: over 18.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mike Evans: over 21.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

De'Von Achane: over 10.5 yards

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey: over 16.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dulcich: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Bell: over 14.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Douglas: over 19.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether specific players in a football game achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds. Each player's performance is evaluated individually, focusing on their longest successful catch during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if each specified player records a longest reception exceeding their respective yardage thresholds in the Miami vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that specific market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is based on the longest reception actually recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, and the outcome for each player is assessed solely against their individual threshold without influence from other participants' performances. The markets are not endorsed or affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the game. You’ll find the implied probabilities, price history charts, and 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,223. The total volume traded on this market is $2,364. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are valuing each player’s chances of achieving the longest reception.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. You may find that this market’s probabilities align with those of sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event nears. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or biases among bettors and traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player’s probability of having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s collective assessment of that player’s chances, and the platform facilitates this price discovery process through real-time trading.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest reception, and the market will settle based on that data. It’s important to note that the official NFL record is the sole determinant of the outcome.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even coaching decisions could all shift perceptions of which player is most likely to have the longest reception. Significant media coverage focusing on a particular player’s receiving ability or a team’s offensive strategy could also impact prices. Late-breaking news about a player’s health or playing time is likely to cause the most significant movement in this market.